As the energy landscape in Europe continues to evolve, the TurkStream pipeline has emerged as a critical conduit for Russian gas supplies. Recent data indicates that gas deliveries via this route have increased significantly at the beginning of the year, underscoring Europe’s growing dependence on this southern corridor for its energy needs. In January 2026, shipments through TurkStream reached approximately 1.73 billion cubic meters, a notable increase from about 1.57 billion cubic meters during the same month last year.
This uptick in flow follows the termination of a long-standing transit agreement through Ukraine, which will not be extended beyond January 2025. Consequently, Turkey has effectively become the sole transit country for Russian pipeline gas entering Europe, marking a significant shift in the region’s energy dynamics.
According to data from ENTSOG, average daily deliveries through TurkStream averaged 55.8 million cubic meters in January 2026, compared to 50.6 million cubic meters in January 2025. The figures also indicate relative stability when compared to December 2025, where daily volumes hovered around 56 million cubic meters.
<pDespite these increases, it is important to note that overall Russian gas exports to Europe have experienced a dramatic decline. In 2025, exports fell by approximately 44%, resulting in total supplies of around 18 billion cubic meters, which is the lowest level recorded since the mid-1970s. This decline starkly contrasts with peak years such as 2018 and 2019, when annual pipeline exports to Europe exceeded 175–180 billion cubic meters.
<pThe recent growth in TurkStream volumes highlights a significant shift in routing rather than a genuine recovery in overall exports. With other transit routes now closed off, Russian gas deliveries are increasingly concentrated through this single corridor, raising questions about the long-term sustainability of Europe's energy supply strategy.
