HomeMarketsSolar-led midday lows widen day-ahead price spreads across Southeast Europe

Solar-led midday lows widen day-ahead price spreads across Southeast Europe

Supported byClarion Energy

Southeast Europe started 12 August 2026 with lower day-ahead electricity prices across several EU markets, alongside exceptionally wide 15-minute price ranges. Strong solar generation drove prices down during the middle of the day. During the evening ramp, nuclear, hydropower and cross-border constraints were associated with scarcity premiums.

Day-ahead price outcomes on HUPX, IBEX and HEnEx

On Hungary’s HUPX, the market cleared at an average of approximately €123.20/MWh. The lowest fifteen-minute price reached €36.50/MWh, before rising to €264.90/MWh. This produced a daily spread of more than €228/MWh.

Bulgaria’s IBEX recorded an average of around €104/MWh. Prices ranged from €11/MWh to approximately €198.90/MWh. Greece averaged roughly €116.50/MWh, while HEnEx prices moved between €25/MWh and €174.20/MWh.

Supported byVirtu Energy

OPCOM curve shows near-zero hours followed by sharp spike

Romania posted the most extreme price curve in the region. On OPCOM, there was a prolonged period of zero or near-zero prices from around 12:30 until after 15:30. This occurred despite limited nuclear and hydropower availability.

After that low-price window, prices increased to €310/MWh at 20:45–21:00. The move pushed the daily spread above €300/MWh.

Comparison with 11 August delivery results across regional markets

The 12 August outcomes differed from delivery on 11 August, when Hungary, Romania, Serbia, Croatia, Slovenia and Albania largely converged around €150/MWh. Serbia cleared at €149.94/MWh, Hungary at €151.44/MWh, and Romania at €149.54/MWh. Montenegro cleared at €155.59/MWh.

The lower averages seen on 12 August were linked to deeper photovoltaic price effects during midday hours rather than a change in overall supply conditions. Firm electricity remained expensive as the daily baseload increasingly combined several hours of almost valueless solar generation with a concentrated period of thermal and flexibility scarcity during the evening peak.

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